The Economy You See vs. The Economy They Model On paper, everything looks fine. Unemployment hovers around 4.3%. Consumer spending hasn’t collapsed. Investment—especially in AI infrastructure—is booming. If you’re relying on official dashboards, the system appears stable. But beneath that surface, something is breaking. Labor force participation is falling faster than unemployment is rising. That means people aren’t just struggling to find jobs—they’re exiting the system altogether. Quietly. Without triggering the alarms. And that’s the problem. Because the system doesn’t measure absence. It measures activity. So when participation drops, the model doesn’t scream crisis. It shrugs. That gap—between lived reality and reported stability—is where the Great Monetary Abstraction begins. From Hard Data to Interpretive Models There was a time when…

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