The Numbers Economists Can’t Ignore The AI productivity boom may finally be showing up in official U.S. economic data. New productivity numbers suggest artificial intelligence is beginning to reshape the economy—but the implications may extend far beyond economic growth. New data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows U.S. nonfarm productivity rising at a 2.8% annualized rate in late 2025, with prior quarters revised even higher. One quarter posted a striking 5.2% productivity surge, the strongest gain in five years. More importantly, when economists zoom out, the current business cycle now shows 2.2% annual productivity growth since 2019, matching the long-term average going back to 1947 and far exceeding the sluggish pace seen during the decade following the 2008 financial…
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