The Overlooked Pattern: Oil Spikes Precede Economic Pain History is not subtle about this. Go back decades—every major spike in oil prices has been followed by economic contraction. The pattern repeats with eerie consistency: energy costs surge, inflation follows, consumer demand collapses, and recession takes hold. This isn’t theory. It’s a structural reality of modern economies that run on cheap, stable energy. And yet, once again, most people are looking the other way. In 2022, we saw a preview. Oil surged following geopolitical conflict, supply chains strained, and by traditional definitions, the economy slipped into recession territory. But the narrative shifted. Officials dismissed it. Headlines softened it. The data was reinterpreted. Markets didn’t care. The S&P 500 dropped 25%. The…
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