A Central Bank Without Conviction At yesterday’s press conference, Jerome Powell didn’t project control—he projected hesitation. Faced with questions about inflation, energy shocks, tariffs, and economic growth, the Fed chair repeatedly emphasized what the Federal Reserve doesn’t know. Not what it plans to do. Not what it expects. But what remains uncertain. In his own words, the economic effects of current global disruptions “could be bigger… much smaller… or much bigger.” That’s not guidance. That’s guesswork. For a central bank tasked with steering the world’s largest economy, this level of ambiguity is not just unusual—it’s revealing. Policy Paralysis at the Worst Possible Time The Fed is now effectively on hold, waiting for clarity that may not come anytime soon. Why?…

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